Volume 20, Issue 1 February 2024

Macro and Micro Consumption Drivers in the Wake of the COVID-19 Pandemic

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate the drivers of household consumption in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, focusing on Italy. We combine a macro and a micro approach and find that the deterioration in economic conditions can only explain about half of the slump in consumption, both at the aggregate and at the individual level; increased income and health risks significantly affect spending decisions, with heterogeneous impacts across expenditure categories and household types. At the micro level, the unemployed reduce spending for economic reasons, while the self-employed are mainly discouraged by health risks and uncertainty; restrictive measures play a minor role.

Authors

  • Elisa Guglielminetti
  • Concetta Rondinelli

JEL codes

  • D14
  • D15
  • E21

Other papers in this issue

Christopher Ball and Nicolas Groshenny and Özer Karagedikli and Murat Özbilgin and Finn Robinson

Simona Malovana and Martin Hodula and Zuzana Gric

Gaston Gelos and Federico Grinberg and Shujaat Khan and Tommaso Mancini-Griffoli and Machiko Narita and Umang Rawat

Olivier de Bandt and Bora Durdu and Hibiki Ichiue and Yasin Mimir and Jolan Mohimont and Kalin Nikolov and Sigrid Roehrs and Jean-Guillaume Sahuc and Valerio Scalone and Michael Straughan

Fabian Fink and Lukas Frei and Thomas Maag and Tanja Zehnder

Almut Balleer and Sebastian Link and Manuel Menkhoff and Peter Zorn