Volume 20, Issue 1 February 2024

Has Higher Household Indebtedness Weakened Monetary Policy Transmission?

Abstract

Has monetary policy been less effective since the global financial crisis because of deteriorating household balance sheets? This paper examines the question using household data from the United States. It compares the responsiveness of household consumption to monetary policy shocks in the pre- and post-crisis periods, relating changes in monetary transmission to changes in household indebtedness and liquidity. The results show that the responsiveness of household consumption has diminished since the crisis. However, household balance sheets are not the culprit. More indebted and less liquid households are the most responsive to monetary policy, and their share in the population grew. The decline in the consumption response does not seem to be attributable to households’ decreasing interest rate exposure, either.

Authors

  • Gaston Gelos
  • Federico Grinberg
  • Shujaat Khan
  • Tommaso Mancini-Griffoli
  • Machiko Narita
  • Umang Rawat

JEL codes

  • E43
  • E52
  • E21

Other papers in this issue

Simona Malovana and Martin Hodula and Zuzana Gric

Olivier de Bandt and Bora Durdu and Hibiki Ichiue and Yasin Mimir and Jolan Mohimont and Kalin Nikolov and Sigrid Roehrs and Jean-Guillaume Sahuc and Valerio Scalone and Michael Straughan

Fabian Fink and Lukas Frei and Thomas Maag and Tanja Zehnder

Almut Balleer and Sebastian Link and Manuel Menkhoff and Peter Zorn

Christopher Ball and Nicolas Groshenny and Özer Karagedikli and Murat Özbilgin and Finn Robinson