Volume 21, Issue 2 April 2025

Endogenous Growth, Skill Obsolescence, and Optimal Monetary Policy

Abstract

We analyze Ramsey optimal monetary policy in a New Keynesian model with skill loss from long-term unemployment and endogenous growth through learning-by-doing. The competitive equilibrium is shown to be inefficient, despite imposing the Hosios condition, due to firms failing to internalize the effects of current hiring on (i) future labor productivity through learning-by-doing; and (ii) future training costs of other firms. These externalities are complementary to each other, thereby justifying marked deviations from price stability. In a calibrated version of the full model, we show significant deviations of the optimal policy from constant inflation, and from Taylor-type rules, in response to productivity shocks.

Authors

  • Wolfgang Lechthaler
  • Mewael F Tesfaselassie

JEL codes

  • E24
  • E52

Other papers in this issue

Julien Bengui and Lu Han and Gaelan MacKenzie

Richard K Crump and Stefano Eusepi and Domenico Giannone and Eric Qian and Argia Sbordone

Thiago R T Ferreira and Nils Gornemann and Julio L Ortiz

Margherita Bottero and Stefano Schiaffi

Jean-Paul L’Huillier and Gregory Phelan