March 2020 issue contents
Stress Tests of the Household Sector Using Microdata from Survey and Administrative Sources

Jaanika Meriküll and Tairi Rõõm
Eesti Pank


This paper conducts microsimulation-based stress tests to assess the financial risks of the household sector. The Estonian Household Finance and Consumption Survey data set is employed, where the survey data from household interviews are complemented with the same information from administrative registers. We analyze the sensitivity of financial-sector loan losses to adverse shocks. It is found that the survey data and the register data indicate the same segment of vulnerable households. The main difference between the two data sources is that the losses predicted by the register data are larger. This is mostly the result of the overestimation of assets and underestimation of liabilities in the survey.

JEL Code: D14, E43, G21, C81.

Full article (PDF, 46 pages, 1,245 kb)