March 2006 issue contents

by Prasanna Gai and Nicholas Vause
Bank of England


This paper proposes a method for measuring investor risk appetite based on the variation in the ratio of risk-neutral to subjective probabilities used by investors in evaluating possible future returns to an asset. Unlike other indicators advanced in the literature, our measure of market sentiment distinguishes risk appetite from risk aversion, and is reported in levels rather than changes. Implementation of the approach yields results that respond to crises and other major economic events in a plausible manner.

JEL Codes: G10, G12, G13.

Full article (PDF, 22 pages 268 kb)