Volume 16, Issue 2 March 2020

Does Central Bank Transparency and Communication Affect Financial and Macroeconomic Forecasts?

Abstract

In a large sample of countries across different geographic regions and over a long period of time, we find limited countryand variable-specific effects of central bank transparency on forecast accuracy and their dispersion among a large set of professional forecasts of financial and macroeconomic variables. More communication even increases forecast errors and dispersion.


 

Authors

  • Thomas Lustenberger
  • Enzo Rossi

JEL codes

  • C23
  • C53
  • E37
  • E58
  • D8

Other papers in this issue

Andrew J Filardo and Marco J. Lombardi and Carlos Montoro and Massimo Minesso Ferrari

Jihad Dagher and Giovanni Dell'Ariccia and Luc Laeven and Lev Ratnovski and Hui Tong

Andrea De Michelis and Thiago Ferreira and Matteo Iacoviello