Volume 15, Issue 3 September 2019

Exchange Rate Pass-Through: What Has Changed Since the Crisis?

Abstract

We study how exchange rate pass-through to CPI inflation has changed since the global financial crisis. We have three main findings. First, exchange rate pass-through in emerging economies decreased after the financial crisis, while exchange rate pass-through in advanced economies has remained relatively low and stable over time. Second, we show that the declining pass-through in emerging markets is related to declining inflation. Third, we show that it is important to control for non-linearities when estimating exchange rate passthrough. These results hold for both short-run and long-run pass-through and remain robust to extensive changes in the specifications.

Authors

  • Martina Jašová
  • Richhild Moessner
  • Elöd Takáts

JEL codes

  • E31
  • E58
  • F31

Other papers in this issue

Luca Guerrieri and Matteo Iacoviello and Francisco Covas and John C. Driscoll and Mohammad Jahan-Parvar and Michael Kiley and Albert Queralto and Jae Sim

Juha Kilponen and Massimiliano Pisani and Sebastian Schmidt and Vesna Corbo and Tibor Hledik and Josef Hollmayr and Samuel Hurtado and Paulo Júlio and Dmitry Kulikov and Matthieu Lemoine and Matija Lozej and Henrik Lundvall and José R. Maria and Brian Micallef and Dimitris Papageorgiou and Jakub Rysanek and Dimitrios Sideris and Carlos Thomas and Gregory de Walque