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January 2012 issue
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Clarida, Fuhrer
Gerlach, Jordan
Kuttner, Posen
Melino
Fuhrer
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How Flexible Can Inflation Targeting Beand Still Work?

by Kenneth N. Kuttnera and and Adam S. Posena,b

Abstract

This paper takes up the issue of the flexibility of inflationtargeting regimes, with the specific goal of determining whether the monetary policy of the Bank of England, which has a formal inflation target, has been any less flexible than that of the Federal Reserve, which does not have such a target. The empirical analysis uses the speed of inflation forecast convergence, estimated from professional forecasters’ predictions at successive forecast horizons, to gauge the perceived flexibility of the central bank’s response to macroeconomic shocks. Based on this criterion, there is no evidence to suggest that the Bank of England’s inflation target has compelled it to be more aggressive in pursuit of low inflation than the Federal Reserve.

JEL Codes: E42, E58, E65.

 
Full article (PDF, 35 pages 503 kb)
Discussion by Gauti B. Eggertsson


a Williams College Economics Department and the NBER
b Peterson Institute for International Economics and Monetary Policy Committee, Bank of England