Volume 8, Issue 3 September 2012

Contagion in the Interbank Market with Stochastic Loss Given Default

Abstract

This paper investigates contagion in the German interbank market under the assumption of a stochastic loss given default (LGD). We combine a unique data set about the LGD of interbank loans with detailed data about interbank exposures. We find that the frequency distribution of the LGD is markedly U-shaped. Our simulations show that contagion in the German interbank market may happen. For the point in time under consideration, the assumption of a stochastic LGD leads on average to a more fragile banking system than under the assumption of a constant LGD.

Authors

  • Christoph Memmel
  • Angelika Sachs
  • Ingrid Stein

JEL codes

  • D53
  • E47
  • G21