Volume 20, Issue 3 July 2024

Model Risk at Central Counterparties: Is Skin in the Game a Game Changer?

Abstract

As central counterparties (CCPs) have become systemic, their credit risk modeling has become critical for the global financial system. This paper empirically investigates CCPs’ incentives to model credit risk. Our hypothesis is that the more CCPs stand to lose from mismanagement, the more conservatively they model credit risk. Accordingly, we find that the higher the skin in the game, i.e., the CCP capital dedicated to credit risk, the lower the model risk is. The results are significant and robust across different model risk proxies. Consistent with our hypothesis, the association with other forms of capital is not significant. Our findings inform the policy debate on CCP capital regulation.

Authors

  • Wenqian Huang
  • Előd Takáts

JEL codes

  • F34
  • F42
  • G21
  • G38

Other papers in this issue

Tomasz Piotr Wisniewski and Michal Polasik and Radoslaw Kotkowski and Andrea Moro

Eric Jondeau and Benoit Mojon and Jean-Guillaume Sahuc

Kiyotaka Nakashima and Masahiko Shibamoto and Koji Takahashi

Daniela Balutel and Christopher S Henry and Kim P Huynh