Volume 11, Issue 3 June 2015

Systemic risk and the solvency-liquidity nexus of banks

Abstract

This paper highlights the empirical interaction between solvency and liquidity risks of banks that make them particularly vulnerable to an aggregate crisis. In line with the literature explaining bank runs based on the quality of the bank's fundamentals, I find that banks lose their access to short-term funding when markets expect they will be insolvent in a crisis. This solvency-liquidity nexus is found to be strong under many robustness checks and to contain useful information for forecasting the short-term balance sheet of banks. The results suggest that capital not only acts as a loss-absorbing buffer, but it also ensures the confidence of creditors to continue to provide funding to the banks in a crisis.

Authors

  • Diane Pierret

JEL codes

  • G01
  • G21
  • G28

Other papers in this issue

Adrian Alter and Ben R. Craig and Peter Raupach

Andrew G. Haldane

Charles I. Plosser

Laurent Clerc and Alexis Derviz and Caterina Mendicino and Stephane Moyen and Kalin Nikolov and Livio Stracca and Javier Suarez and Alexandros P. Vardoulakis

Vincenzo Cuciniello and Federico M. Signoretti